/* ARCH(q)_GED(nu) */ new; cls; a0=0.001; a={0.3,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1}; n=1000; nu=1; u=arch_GED(a0,a,nu,n); library pgraph; graphset; title("ARCH(q)_GED(nu)"); t=seqa(1,1,n); xy(t,u); proc arch_GED(a0,a,nu,n); local cutn,e,s2,q,u,h,t; if a0<=0; errorlog "ERROR:Parameter a0 must be positive."; retp("."); endif; if not a>=0; errorlog "ERROR:Each element of a must be non negative."; retp("."); endif; cutn=100; /* first some data to cut off */ e=rndged0(nu,cutn+n); /* Now, e~GED(nu). */ s2=a0/(1-sumc(a)); q=rows(a); print/lz "q=" rows(a); u=zeros(cutn+n,1); h=zeros(cutn+n,1); u[1:q]=sqrt(s2)*e[1:q]; t=q+1; do while t<=cutn+n; h[t]=a0+rev(a)'(u[t-q:t-1]^2); u[t]=sqrt(h[t])*e[t]; t=t+1; endo; u=u[cutn+1:cutn+n]; retp(u); endp; proc rndged0(nu,n); local lowerbound,upperbound,max,x,i,y,U; lowerbound=-4; upperbound=4; /* You could change, but normally O.K. */ max=pdfged(0,nu); /* acceptance-rejection method */ x=zeros(n,1); i=1; do while i<=n; y=(upperbound-lowerbound)*rndu(1,1)+lowerbound; U=rndu(1,1); if U<=pdfged(y,nu)/max; x[i]=y; i=i+1; endif; endo; retp(x); endp; proc pdfged(x,nu); local lambda; if nu<=0; errorlog "ERROR: Parameter nu must be positive."; retp("."); endif; lambda=1/2^(1/nu).*(gamma(1/nu)./gamma(3/nu))^(1/2); retp( nu.*exp(-1/2*abs(x./lambda)^nu)./(lambda.*2^(1+1/nu).*gamma(1/nu)) ); endp;