/* AR-EGARCH */ new; cls; phi={0.8,0.1}; a0=0.001; a={0.5,-0.1,0.1,-0.1}; b={-0.2,0.5,0.1}; gam={-0.2,0.1,0,0}; n=1000; x=aregarch(phi,a0,a,b,gam,n); library pgraph; graphset; title("AR-EGARCH"); t=seqa(1,1,n); xy(t,x); proc aregarch(phi,a0,a,b,gam,n); local cutn,p,e,x,t; cutn=100; /* first some data to cut off */ p=rows(phi); print "AR parameter:"; print/lz "p=" rows(phi); e=egarch(a0,a,b,gam,cutn+n); /* Now, e~EGARCH. */ x=zeros(cutn+n,1); t=p+1; do while t<=cutn+n; x[t]=rev(phi)'x[t-p:t-1]+e[t]; t=t+1; endo; x=x[cutn+1:cutn+n]; retp(x); endp; proc egarch(a0,a,b,gam,n); local cutn,e,s2,q,p,u,lnsig2,max,t,sig; if a0<=0; errorlog "ERROR:Parameter a0 must be positive."; retp("."); endif; if rows(a)/=rows(gam); errorlog "ERROR: The number of element a and its gam must be the same."; retp("."); endif; if rows(a)q, the period p-q is ignored for z=u/sig calculation"; endif; cutn=100; /* first some data to cut off */ e=rndn(cutn+n,1); s2=a0/(1-sumc(a)-sumc(b)); q=rows(a); p=rows(b); print "EGARCH parameter:"; print/lz "q=" q;; print/lz "p=" p; u=zeros(cutn+n,1); lnsig2=zeros(cutn+n,1); max=maxc(q|p); u[1:max]=sqrt(s2)*e[1:max]; lnsig2[1:max]=ln(s2)*ones(max,1); t=max+1; do while t<=cutn+n; sig=sqrt(exp(lnsig2[t-q:t-1])); lnsig2[t]=a0+rev(a)'((abs(u[t-q:t-1])+rev(gam).*u[t-q:t-1])./sig)+rev(b)'lnsig2[t-p:t-1]; u[t]=sqrt(exp(lnsig2[t]))*e[t]; t=t+1; endo; u=u[cutn+1:cutn+n]; retp(u); endp;